Italy is frankly good. While this is the main discovery (with a plus sign) of the entire championship. If you take a team game and compare, then Italy surprises the most and looks almost the best. She skated the whole group. This is despite the fact that only 3 people from the starting lineup came out for the last game against Wales: Donnarumma, Bonucci and Jorginho, and then these same three were replaced. Other players came out and played not much worse than the base. Italy has a huge clip of football players. The team is excellently prepared. All run in great strength. The base rests for almost a week between the second round and 1/8.
Austria can also be given a couple of compliments. Although they lost in the group to the Dutch, it was quite a decent game, somewhere the orange was even lucky. North Macedonia beat confidently. In the most important match against Ukraine, they showed a very good game, where they won 1: 0 in the case, and they could have scored even more.
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In summary, I have no doubt that Italy will win. But the odds for a clear victory are small. Taking F1 (-1.5) is pretty scary. Because Austria is not a bad team, which has its own leaders: Alaba, Zabitzer, Arnautovich. So I would not risk it, although everything can be.
The TB option is much more attractive to me (2.5). Italy has a crazy attack. The team scores first, immediately runs to score the second and third, never stops. Austria has solid midfield players and the team is playing ball control.
The Italians will flee, the Austrians will fight for the initiative and also attack. In general, the goals will be. Italy will win, but it will not be easy, and guests must score their goal. And if so, then Italy needs 2-3 to win.
My forecast for this interesting game is TB (2.5).
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